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<text id=93HT1446>
<title>
Man of Year 1988: Endangered Earth
</title>
<history>
TIME--The Weekly Newsmagazine--Man of the Year
</history>
<article>
<source>Time Magazine</source>
<hdr>
January 2, 1989
Planet of the Year
Endangered Earth: Biodiversity - The Death of Birth
</hdr>
<body>
<p>By Eugene Linden
</p>
<p> Before Brazil's great land rush, the emerald rain forests of
Rondonia state were an unspoiled showcase for the diversity of
life. In this lush territory south of the Amazon, there was hardly
a break in the canopy of 200-ft.-tall trees, and virtually every
acre was alive with the cacophony of all kinds of insects, birds
and monkeys. Then, beginning in the 1970s, came the swarms of
settlers, slashing and burning huge swaths through the forest to
create roads, towns and fields. They came to enjoy a promised land,
but they have merely produced a network of devastation. The soil
that supported a rich rain forest is not well suited to corn and
other crops, and most of the newcomers can eke out only an
impoverished, disease-ridden existence. In the process, they are
destroying an ecosystem and the millions of species of plants and
animals that live in it. An estimated 20% of Rondonia's forest is
gone, and at present rates of destruction it will be totally wiped
out within 25 years.
</p>
<p> Around the globe, on land and in the sea, the story is much
the same. Spurred by poverty, population growth, ill-advised
policies and simple greed, humanity is at war with the plants and
animals that share its planet. Peter Raven, director of the
Missouri Botanical Garden, predicts that during the next three
decades man will drive an average of 100 species to extinction
every day. Extinction is part of evolution, but the present rate
is at least 1,000 times the pace that has prevailed since
prehistory.
</p>
<p> Even the mass extinctions 65 million years ago that killed off
the dinosaurs and countless other species did not significantly
affect flowering plants, according to Harvard biologist E.O.
Wilson. But these plant species are disappearing now, and people,
not comets or volcanoes, are the angels of destruction. Moreover,
the earth is suffering the decline of entire ecosystems--the
nurseries of new life-forms. For that reason, Wilson deems this
crisis the "death of birth." British ecologist Norman Myers has
called it the "greatest single setback to life's abundance and
diversity since the first flickerings of life almost 4 billion
years ago."
</p>
<p> Nearly every habitat is at risk. Forests in the northern
hemisphere have fallen to lumbering, development and acid rain.
Marine ecosystems around the world are threatened by pollution,
overfishing and coastal development. It is in the tropics, though,
that the battle to preserve what scientists call biodiversity will
be won or lost. Tropical forests cover only 7% of the earth's
surface, but they house between 50% and 80% of the planet's
species.
</p>
<p> But should people in developed countries care about the
survival of tropical species never seen outside a rain forest? Yes,
they should. Variety is the spice of life, goes the saying.
Biologists would go further and argue that variety is the very
stuff of life. Life needs diversity because of the
interdependencies that link flora and fauna, and because variation
within species allows them to adapt to environmental challenges.
But even as the world's human population explodes, other life is
ebbing from the planet. Humanity is making a risky wager--that
it does not need the great variety of earth's species to survive.
</p>
<p> Despite the alarm with which scientists view this trend,
biodiversity has just surfaced on the world's political agenda. The
troubles of high-profile animals such as the tiger and rhino grab
public attention, while most people hardly see the point of
worrying about insects or plants. But extinction is the one
environmental calamity that is irreversible. As these lowly species
disappear unnoticed, they take with them hard-won lessons of
survival encoded in their genes over millions of years.
</p>
<p> Only 1.7 million of the estimated 5 million to 30 million
different life-forms on earth have been cataloged. Since hundreds
of thousands of species may be extinct by the year 2000, the world
has neither the scientists nor the time to identify the yet
uncounted. "It's as though the nations of the world decided to burn
their libraries without bothering to see what is in them," said
University of Pennsylvania biologist Daniel Janzen at the TIME
conference. Harvard's Wilson called this profligacy the "folly"
that future generations are least likely to forgive.
</p>
<p> Humanity already benefits greatly from the genetic heritage of
little-known species. Some 25% of the pharmaceuticals in use in
the U.S. today contain ingredients originally derived from wild
plants. Hidden anonymously in clumps of vegetation about to be
bulldozed or burned might be plants with cures for still
unconquered diseases. "I know of three plants with the potential
to treat AIDS," said Janzen. "One grows in an Australian rain
forest, one in Panama and one in Costa Rica."
</p>
<p> Nature's diversity offers many opportunities for agriculture,
especially now that genetic mapping and engineering have given
biotechnology firms the potential power to improve crops by
transferring genes from wild strains. According to Wilson,
biotechnology can transform a plant into a "loose-leaf notebook"
from which scientists can select a particular page. Among the
possible results: drought- and frost-resistant crops, and natural
fertilizers and pesticides.
</p>
<p> Diversity is the raw material of earth's wealth, but nature's
true creativity lies in the relationships that link various
creatures. The coral in a reef or the orchid in a rain forest is
part of an ecosystem, a fragile, often delicately balanced
conglomeration of supports, checks and balances that integrate
life-forms into functioning communities. Given the complex workings
of an ecosystem, it is never clear which species, if any, are
expendable.
</p>
<p> In the tropics the crucial question is how large a forest must
be to sustain itself. If a park or protected area is too small to
support some of its animal and plant life, the ecosystem will
decline even with protection. As yet, no one knows the minimum
critical size of a rain forest, but in 1979 Thomas Lovejoy, now at
the Smithsonian Institution, set up a 20-year experiment with the
cooperation of the Brazilian government to determine just that for
the Amazon region. Among the findings: the smaller the forest, the
faster the decline of insects, birds and mammals.
</p>
<p> Biologists have identified numerous "hot spots" where
ecosystems are under attack and large numbers of unique species
face an immediate threat of elimination. Among the troubled areas:
Madagascar, where more than 90% of the original vegetation has
disappeared; the monsoon forests of the Himalayan foothills that
are being denuded by villagers in search of firewood, building
materials and arable land; New Caledonia, 83% of whose plants occur
nowhere else; the eastern slope of the Andes, as well as forests
in East Africa, peninsular Malaysia, northeast Australia and along
the Atlantic coast of Brazil.
</p>
<p> Since less than 5% of the world's tropical forests receive any
protection, the stage is set for mass extinctions. Many plants and
animals are doomed, no matter what measures are taken. Some
researchers estimate that at least 12% of the bird species in the
Amazon basin, as well as 15% of the plants in Central and South
America, can be counted among what Janzen calls the "living dead."
Many tropical mammals and reptiles face only bleak survival under
what amounts to house arrest in game parks and zoos.
</p>
<p> Why are so many species and environments threatened? The main
reason is that throughout the tropics, developing nations are
struggling to feed their peoples and raise cash to make payments
on international debts. Many countries are chopping down their
forests for the sake of timber exports. In Central America forests
are giving way to cattle ranches, which supply beef to American
fast-food chains. The pressures on forests have led Janzen, who has
spent 26 years struggling to save Costa Rica's woodlands, to
conclude that "everything outside parks will be gone, and
everything inside the parks is threatened."
</p>
<p> Efforts to stop the destruction run into moral as well as
practical obstacles. How can developed nations demand onerous debt
payments and ask the debtors to preserve their forests? How can
countries worry about biodiversity when their people are concerned
with feeding themselves?
</p>
<p> To begin with, the rich nations must reduce the debt burden of
the poor. But just as important is a concerted campaign to convince
the people of developing countries that it is in their own
long-term interest to preserve their environments. Wiping out
forests may make developing nations momentarily richer, but it is
bound to produce a poorer future.
</p>
<p> Experience has shown the Third World that destruction of
forests can have disastrous consequences. Forests are vital
watersheds that absorb excess moisture and anchor topsoil.
Deforestation contributed to the recent droughts in Africa and the
devastating mud slides in Rio de Janeiro last year. In Costa Rica
topsoil eroded from bald hills has greatly shortened the life of
an expensive hydroelectric dam. Alvaro Umana, Costa Rica's Minister
of Industry, Energy and Mines, estimated that the surrounding
watershed might have been protected 20 years ago for a cost of $5
million. Now the government must reforest the watershed at ten
times that price.
</p>
<p> Halting the assault on biodiversity will not be easy, but there
are many actions that governments can take. First, they should
develop and support local scientific institutions that train
professionals in conservation techniques. More money should flow
into educational programs that alert people to the irreversible
consequences of a loss of genetic diversity. An international,
environmental version of the Peace Corps could spread conservation
expertise to the Third World.
</p>
<p> Throughout the developing nations there are encouraging
stirrings of local environmental activity. In Malaysia
blowgun-armed Penan tribesmen have joined forces with
environmentalists in an effort to stop rampant logging. And in
Brazil, which has some 500 conservation organizations,
environmentalist Jose Pedro de Oliveira Costa organized a coalition
of legislators, conservationists, industrialists and media barons
to stir public support to preserve Brazil's remaining Atlantic
forests. "The threats to the forests remain," said Costa, "but now
at least there is a network in place to scream when a threat
arises."
</p>
<p> But environmental protection must make economic sense, and
development must go hand in hand with preservation. Development
should be sustainable, meaning that it should use up resources no
faster than they can be regenerated by nature. Governments and
private firms should organize projects to show that forests can be
used without being obliterated. If trees are cut selectively,
forests can yield profits and survive to produce more money in the
future. Another way to harvest cash from forests and other habitats
is to set up tours and safaris to attract animal lovers and
photography buffs. Long a moneymaker in Africa and the Galapagos
Islands, this "ecotourism" is spreading to such places as Costa
Rica.
</p>
<p> For sustainable development to work, observed Paulo
Nogueira-Neto, environmental adviser to the Brazilian Ministry of
Culture, governments will have to devise comprehensive national
zoning plans so that their countries can achieve the right mix of
preservation and economic growth. Local residents can be encouraged
to earn a livelihood in the more robust areas, while habitats that
are fragile can be protected. Sustainable development can proceed,
noted Kenneth Piddington, director of the environmental department
of the World Bank, "right up to a park's boundary."
</p>
<p> Financial as well as political leverage can be used in the
cause of preservation. Governments should force local lending
institutions to review the environmental consequences of proposed
loans. No bank, for example, should be allowed to lend a company
money to set up a cattle ranch if the operation would destroy too
large a section of an endangered forest.
</p>
<p> Finally, the unfortunate reality is that many habitats are not
going to be saved. To prevent the genetic legacy of those areas
from being extinguished, as many species as possible should be
preserved in zoos, botanical gardens and other "gene banks." There,
scientists can study a small percentage of threatened organisms and
have the options of later returning them to the wild or
transplanting some of their genes into other species.
</p>
<p> But the best place to preserve the earth's biodiversity is in
the ecosystems that gave rise to it. Man must abandon the belief
that the natural order is mere stuff to be managed and
domesticated, and accept that humans, like other creatures, depend
on a web of life that must be disturbed as little as possible.
</p>
</body>
</article>
</text>